Dunbeholden vs Mount Pleasant analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
9º
7º
46
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
9% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
CMF
1 - 7
DFC
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
DFC
3 - 1
VER
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
DFC
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DFC
4 - 0
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 3
DFC
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 1
MPA
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MPA
7 - 0
CMF
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VER
0 - 5
MPA
21%
27%
51%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MPA
0 - 0
ARN
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MPA
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |