Dunbeholden vs Molynes United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
9º
7º
31
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
DFC
0 - 0
WAT
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
DFC
26%
28%
46%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 2
DFC
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 2
CAV
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 4
HAR
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Molynes United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 5
MPA
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CMF
1 - 0
MOL
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
ARN
2 - 1
MOL
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
1 - 0
VER
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOL
0 - 1
MON
50%
24%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |