Dunbeholden vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
14º
8º
37
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 6% |
|
Next round
|
9% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MPA
4 - 0
DFC
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
2 - 2
RUF
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 13 | 49 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 1
ARN
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 2
DFC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
3 - 3
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
CAV
2 - 2
WAT
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
CAV
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 1
LIO
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
CAV
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 3
CMF
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |