Dunbeholden vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
9º
7º
49
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
9% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 4
HAR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FSC
0 - 2
DFC
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LIO
0 - 0
DFC
35%
29%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
DFC
1 - 1
HAR
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
DFC
3 - 4
CAV
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CMF
0 - 3
CAV
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VER
0 - 3
CAV
23%
28%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 2
ARN
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 4
CAV
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
DFC
3 - 4
CAV
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |