Dunbeholden vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
7º
14º
8º
45
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Next round
|
9% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 2
DFC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
3 - 3
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
DFC
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
DFC
2 - 1
TRI
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 2
MOL
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 2
CAV
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 1
HAR
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
ARN
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 0
VER
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
ARN
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |