Dunbeholden vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
10º
8º
49
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 0
DFC
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
VER
1 - 2
DFC
21%
27%
53%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
DFC
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
DFC
2 - 1
WAT
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 0
LIO
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAV
3 - 0
ARN
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 0
SFS
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
ARN
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 0
MPA
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 2
ARN
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |