Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Simitli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
2 - 2
DOB
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LOK
1 - 5
DUN
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
BAN
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
OBO
0 - 1
DUN
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 0
LOK
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SEP
0 - 3
SOZ
29%
29%
42%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
DOB
1 - 0
SEP
60%
23%
17%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SEP
0 - 0
NEF
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LOK
1 - 3
SEP
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SEP
1 - 1
LLO
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |