Dunaújváros vs Nagykanizsa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
22.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
16º
15º
61
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
38.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunaújváros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KAP
1 - 0
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FCD
3 - 2
DUN
6%
12%
83%
|
32 | 6 | 26 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 1
GVC
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 2
CEG
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 0
MON
43%
22%
35%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Nagykanizsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 7
NAG
9%
13%
78%
|
25 | 5 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
NAG
0 - 0
IVA
13%
19%
69%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MTK
1 - 1
NAG
69%
17%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
NAG
2 - 2
SZO
13%
19%
68%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
NAG
1 - 0
MOS
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +1 |