Cetatea vs Progresul Spartac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
10º
6º
6
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
3 | 38 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 36 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 34 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
|
3º
|
6 | 32 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 26 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 21 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 21 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 17 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 14 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 13 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
89.5% | 30% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cetatea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
3 - 0
DUN
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 1
DUN
35%
25%
39%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
VCO
0 - 3
DUN
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 2
SCM
69%
17%
15%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 2
CSV
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Progresul Spartac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PSB
0 - 1
CSD
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 1
PSB
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PSB
3 - 1
TUN
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +4 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CSS
4 - 0
PSB
66%
22%
12%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PSB
0 - 2
CHI
18%
26%
55%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | -1 |