Dunărea Călăraşi vs Aerostar Bacău analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
PET
0 - 1
DUN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
DUN
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 0
REC
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
CSS
0 - 1
DUN
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 4
SFC
45%
23%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aerostar Bacău
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AER
3 - 2
CSI
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
RIT
2 - 0
AER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AER
0 - 1
COL
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 0
AER
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
AER
0 - 1
UCL
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |