Dumiense FC vs Vitória SC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+62%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
11º
14º
11º
38
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
38 | 55 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 50 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
3º
|
34% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 42 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 40 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 36 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 35 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 33 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
13º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 3
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REB
5 - 1
DUM
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 1
OSA
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
6 - 1
DUM
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 2
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VSC
1 - 1
ATA
60%
19%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 0
VSC
46%
27%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VSC
0 - 1
PEV
44%
25%
30%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
VSC
85%
11%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VSC
0 - 2
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |