Dumiense FC vs Vilar de Perdizes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
8º
35
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
DUM
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
FAM
4 - 1
DUM
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 72 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
4 - 2
PED
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 1
DUM
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DUM
3 - 0
BRA
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VPE
2 - 2
PEV
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
VPE
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VPE
2 - 2
BRI
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 4
VPE
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 0
VIL
10%
16%
74%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | +3 |