Dumiense FC vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
14º
9º
43
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
DUM
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
DUM
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
DUM
3 - 2
POR
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
DUM
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
8 - 0
DUM
97%
3%
0%
|
32 | 88 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
TIR
1 - 0
OSA
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 1
TIR
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 1
OSL
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TIR
0 - 0
PEV
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |