Dumiense FC vs Ribeirão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
14º
9º
23
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
OSL
1 - 1
DUM
52%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 2
TIR
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
DUM
53%
22%
26%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
DUM
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
DUM
3 - 2
POR
56%
20%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 0
OSA
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 2
RIB
24%
21%
55%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
RIB
2 - 0
PEV
39%
27%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
OSL
1 - 2
RIB
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 1
TIR
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |