Dumiense FC vs Os Sandinenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
23.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
6º
14º
6º
4
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
7º
|
6 | 47 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 47 |
2º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 42 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 39 |
5º
|
6% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 36 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 36 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 33 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 31 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 30 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 30 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
60% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29.5% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
6 - 1
DUM
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 2
BRI
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
DUM
35%
23%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 2
DUM
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Os Sandinenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OSA
2 - 1
ATA
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 1
OSA
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
AVE
4 - 1
OSA
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OSA
4 - 0
MON
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 0
OSA
46%
23%
30%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |