Dumiense FC vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
8º
26
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
3 - 1
DUM
41%
22%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
DUM
40%
22%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
DUM
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 2
SMA
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
DUM
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 4
TIR
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
1 - 0
MON
61%
20%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VPE
0 - 2
MON
48%
21%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
MER
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |