Dumiense FC vs Mirandela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
14º
9º
24
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PEV
2 - 1
DUM
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
AVE
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OSA
1 - 1
DUM
25%
21%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 3
USA
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Mirandela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MIR
0 - 2
OSA
56%
22%
21%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
6 - 1
MIR
85%
12%
4%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
MIR
25%
24%
51%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MIR
5 - 2
RIB
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCB
0 - 3
MIR
52%
25%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |