Dumiense FC vs Maria da Fonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
45.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
8º
25
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 49% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DUM
4 - 1
BRI
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
DUM
5 - 1
ROR
79%
14%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIA
0 - 1
DUM
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DUM
1 - 1
TAD
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SOA
4 - 1
DUM
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Maria da Fonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 4
MER
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 0
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 3
PED
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MAC
0 - 1
MAR
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
MIR
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |