Dumiense FC vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+114%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
12º
8º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
DUM
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
MON
70%
16%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PEV
3 - 1
DUM
41%
22%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
DUM
40%
22%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
DUM
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 2
PEV
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
AMA
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
BRI
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AMA
42%
27%
32%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
AMA
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |