Dumbarton vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
2º
2º
44
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 0
DUM
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
EAS
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 0
STI
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
DUM
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 1
DUM
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
STE
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
ELG
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
8 - 0
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STR
0 - 0
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 0
STR
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |