Dumbarton vs Stranraer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
DUM
3 - 0
EAS
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
DUM
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DUM
2 - 1
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
DUM
3 - 3
AIR
38%
26%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
DUM
1 - 2
STE
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
STR
3 - 0
BRE
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
RAI
2 - 3
STR
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
STR
2 - 1
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MON
3 - 1
STR
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
STR
0 - 2
BRE
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |