Dumbarton vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
4º
68
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
4 - 5
DUM
38%
23%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
ELG
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
DUM
30%
24%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
3 - 2
BAN
44%
23%
33%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
STE
1 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
STR
0 - 3
STE
26%
24%
49%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
PET
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STE
3 - 2
SPA
37%
26%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 3
STE
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |