Dumbarton vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
DUM
48%
24%
27%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 0
DUM
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DUM
1 - 2
STI
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
WOR
0 - 3
DUM
37%
24%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
DUM
3 - 2
GRE
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 1
STI
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
RAI
6 - 0
PET
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RAI
4 - 0
ALL
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 1
RAI
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 2
QOS
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |