Dumbarton vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 1
DUM
27%
24%
50%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 2
DUN
22%
25%
53%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 1
DUM
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 2
STM
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
STR
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
RAI
1 - 0
EAS
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 1
RAI
24%
25%
51%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
RAI
2 - 0
ARB
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
STM
1 - 3
RAI
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 1
RAI
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |