Dumbarton vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 4
DUM
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 3
GRE
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 0
DUM
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 2
CWB
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 2
FAL
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
AIR
1 - 2
RAI
41%
25%
35%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 1
DUN
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RAI
0 - 2
LIV
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 1
RAI
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CWB
1 - 1
RAI
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |