Dumbarton vs Queen's Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 0
DUM
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 2
HOM
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
CUM
2 - 3
DUM
26%
23%
50%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
EAS
1 - 3
DUM
55%
22%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
DUM
0 - 2
ALL
28%
25%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Queen's Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 2
STE
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
STE
1 - 1
QUE
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
QUE
3 - 0
ARB
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 1
QUE
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
RAI
2 - 0
QUE
71%
18%
10%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |