Dumbarton vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
42.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 2
DUM
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
0 - 2
EAS
47%
24%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
DUM
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 2
MHE
18%
20%
63%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
DUM
1 - 2
STR
46%
24%
30%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
PET
2 - 1
DUN
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 1
PET
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
PET
2 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
PET
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
PET
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |