Dumbarton vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
10º
10º
25
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
29% | 51% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation
|
41.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
DUM
1 - 1
ALL
24%
24%
52%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
QOS
3 - 1
DUM
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DUM
1 - 5
AIR
23%
22%
56%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
ICT
2 - 0
DUM
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 0
KHE
34%
25%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MON
0 - 3
STE
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BLA
2 - 2
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
QUE
3 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
KHE
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
3 - 0
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |