Dumbarton vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
HIB
3 - 2
DUM
54%
22%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GLA
4 - 1
DUM
77%
15%
9%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DUM
0 - 4
QOS
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
RAI
3 - 1
DUM
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
DUM
29%
22%
49%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 0
QOS
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
QOS
1 - 1
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
4 - 1
HOM
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 1
CWB
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HIB
2 - 1
LIV
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |