Dumbarton vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 2
DUM
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CWB
3 - 2
DUM
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 3
DUN
20%
21%
59%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DUM
3 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HAM
4 - 1
DUM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 2
GRE
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 0
LIV
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
AIR
0 - 2
LIV
30%
23%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 3
FAL
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
3 - 3
QOS
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |