Dumbarton vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 1
DUM
51%
25%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HAM
2 - 3
DUM
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
4 - 2
RAI
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 4
DUM
62%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 3
GRE
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 2
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 2
DUN
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
6 - 1
LIV
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
RAI
0 - 2
LIV
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
LIV
4 - 1
AIR
71%
18%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |