Dumbarton vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DUM
3 - 1
HAM
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AIR
1 - 2
DUM
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 0
PAR
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 1
DUN
26%
25%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 3
DUM
74%
17%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 1
LIV
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIV
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 1
RAI
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 2
PAR
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CWB
1 - 1
LIV
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |