Dumbarton vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
3º
10º
10º
31
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 58 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 58 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 49 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 36 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 16.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
56.5% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 2
ARB
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COV
1 - 1
DUM
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
4 - 0
BER
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DUM
3 - 3
ALL
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 1
DUM
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 0
ICT
25%
26%
50%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 3
KHE
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 0
STE
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
KHE
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
QUE
6 - 0
KHE
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |