Dumbarton vs Inverness CT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
73.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
AIR
2 - 0
DUM
76%
15%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WOR
0 - 4
DUM
28%
24%
49%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 3
STM
10%
18%
72%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 3
HEB
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 0
BLA
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ICT
2 - 1
BRA
79%
15%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
NAI
0 - 6
ICT
6%
13%
81%
|
64 | 31 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ICT
4 - 1
ELG
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 1
ICT
81%
12%
7%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
ICT
1 - 2
AYR
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |