Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CWB
4 - 1
DUM
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DUM
0 - 4
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 0
DUM
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
DUM
0 - 2
CWB
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 2
DUM
47%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 3
STI
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AIR
3 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 1
BRE
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
STI
2 - 2
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
STE
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |