Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUM
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 2
AYR
39%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 1
DUM
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DUM
5 - 2
PET
56%
22%
21%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
DUM
2 - 2
ALL
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
PET
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
ALL
57%
23%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 0
STE
56%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 1
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |