Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 0
ALB
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
STR
4 - 2
DUM
29%
22%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 0
PAR
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CWB
2 - 3
DUM
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DUM
4 - 1
AIR
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
3 - 0
CLY
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CLY
1 - 2
FAL
15%
21%
64%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
FAL
4 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RAI
0 - 0
FAL
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 2
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |