Dumbarton vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
4º
40
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
DUM
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 0
CLY
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 2
DUM
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 0
STE
33%
27%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 0
BRA
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 1
PET
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STE
1 - 1
ELG
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 2
SPA
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 0
ELG
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 1
FOR
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |