Dumbarton vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
4º
40
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
DUM
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 0
BRA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
3 - 2
BAN
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
DUM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CLY
0 - 4
DUM
21%
22%
57%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 0
BRA
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
ELG
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
JSW
6 - 0
ELG
42%
21%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
STE
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PET
6 - 0
ELG
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |