Dumbarton vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
2º
2º
40
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
DUM
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
BLA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
DUM
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
BRA
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUM
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
ALB
3 - 0
ELG
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 1
STR
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AYR
4 - 1
ELG
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
ALB
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
ELG
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |