Dumbarton vs East Stirlingshire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
DUM
0 - 5
MHE
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DUM
0 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUM
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DUM
1 - 2
AYR
39%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AIR
2 - 1
DUM
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
East Stirlingshire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
THE
2 - 0
BLA
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
THE
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
THE
2 - 1
ELG
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
CLY
2 - 0
THE
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
THE
1 - 2
ALB
33%
26%
42%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |