Dumbarton vs East Fife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
2º
2º
50
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 0
STI
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 2
DUM
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 1
DUM
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 2
STE
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 1
FOR
53%
25%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
East Fife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
8 - 0
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STI
2 - 2
EAS
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
EAS
0 - 1
BLA
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
ELG
47%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
EAS
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |