Dumbarton vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
DUM
0 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BLA
1 - 3
DUM
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
DUM
6 - 0
ELG
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
DUM
4 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CWB
0 - 0
DUM
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
ARB
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
DUN
1 - 1
CLY
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
GRE
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
QOS
0 - 3
DUN
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
FAL
2 - 0
DUN
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |