Dumbarton vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DUM
3 - 1
GRE
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HAM
4 - 1
DUM
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 1
FAL
37%
26%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 0
ALB
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
STR
4 - 2
DUM
29%
22%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
4 - 0
STJ
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 1
ICT
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
DUN
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
DUN
0 - 4
CEL
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |