Dumbarton vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 2
DUM
63%
20%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 4
DUN
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 4
RAI
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
QOS
1 - 2
DUM
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DUM
1 - 2
LIV
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CWB
5 - 1
GRE
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
QOS
1 - 1
CWB
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CWB
0 - 2
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LIV
5 - 1
CWB
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HAM
1 - 0
CWB
66%
21%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |