Dumbarton vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
66.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 4
DUN
21%
26%
54%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
QOS
1 - 0
DUM
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
DUM
2 - 1
RAN
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 1
DUM
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 0
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
LLA
1 - 0
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
PRE
0 - 4
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
FLI
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
COL
3 - 7
CON
10%
19%
71%
|
65 | 24 | 41 | 0 |