Dumbarton vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STI
1 - 2
DUM
36%
24%
40%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DUM
2 - 1
AIR
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DUM
0 - 2
STE
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 1
DUM
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DUM
1 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 2
CWB
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
STE
2 - 1
BRE
50%
25%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AIR
4 - 1
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
STI
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 3
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |