Dumbarton vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DUM
1 - 0
ARB
53%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ALL
1 - 3
DUM
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
EAS
0 - 1
DUM
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DUM
2 - 3
STI
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
DUM
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CWB
0 - 0
BRE
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
3 - 2
EAS
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
PET
1 - 0
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BRE
2 - 1
ALL
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 0
STE
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |