Dumbarton vs Bonnyrigg Rose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
5º
4º
39
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 6
DUM
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
EAS
3 - 2
DUM
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
STR
5 - 0
DUM
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUM
1 - 0
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 1
STR
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bonnyrigg Rose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
CLY
52%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ELG
1 - 0
BRA
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
SPA
29%
26%
46%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
STE
26%
26%
49%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRA
61%
23%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |