Dumbarton vs Berwick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 0
DUM
55%
23%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
DUM
0 - 4
DUN
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
DUM
3 - 2
THE
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
DUM
0 - 5
MHE
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
DUM
0 - 0
FOR
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ELG
4 - 1
BER
47%
23%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 3
BER
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
CLY
2 - 2
BER
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
BER
0 - 2
HAM
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BER
2 - 2
ALB
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |